XY Learn · Value Discovery

Business Modelling

Conceptualise a business model that survives contact with the market.

Δ Business model

Duration

2 days

Hours

8 hours (4 hours/day)

Delivery

Online, live cohort or private team

Who it's for

Founders, CXOs, product leaders

The hook

Most startups do not fail at execution. They execute perfectly on a model whose arithmetic never worked.

Intent · Leave with two or three modelled alternatives — segment, offer, price, channel, cost to serve — each with ballpark numbers, so the build decision is arithmetic, not opinion.

Take this if

Six signals you are leaking this value

01

You cannot plot the big picture on one page

02

Segmentation is a demographic, not a behaviour

03

No articulated customer-perceived value

04

Channels to market are unknown or borrowed

05

Discounting is how you close

06

Unit economics only work at a scale you have never seen

About the course

A business model is a calibrated engine, not a canvas exercise. It identifies opportunity, defines what a customer actually wants, segments who will pay first, and fits the key activities, processes, assets, people and partners that create and deliver that value.

We navigate from 30,000 ft to 30 ft: market structure and game theory at the top, cost-to-serve and margin per transaction at the bottom. You model alternatives instead of defending the first one you wrote down.

2026 additions: AI-cost-of-goods modelling (inference as COGS), usage vs seat vs outcome pricing, platform and marketplace liquidity mechanics, and agent-mediated distribution — where the buyer is increasingly software, not a human browsing a website.

Tools you will use

  • Business Model Kit
  • Value chain map
  • Unit-economics workbook
  • Pricing architecture matrix
  • Assumption register

Prerequisite

Curiosity and willingness to have your arithmetic questioned.

Curriculum

What we cover, hour by hour

01 · The big picture

  • Opportunity framing: market structure, incumbents, substitutes
  • Value chain map — where margin actually pools today
  • Game theory: how the market responds when you win
  • Model archetypes from adjacent industries

02 · Customer and value

  • Behaviour-based segmentation and beachhead selection
  • Customer-perceived value vs delivered value
  • Jobs, pains, substitutes and current spend
  • Experiential journey and relationship design

03 · Economics

  • Pricing architectures: seat, usage, outcome, hybrid
  • AI inference and infra as variable COGS
  • Contribution margin, CAC payback, cost to serve
  • Ballpark modelling: three scenarios, one spreadsheet

04 · Delivery and defensibility

  • Channels to market and partner leverage
  • Buy, build or partner decisions per key activity
  • Network effects, data loops and switching costs
  • Risk-to-ship assumption register with kill criteria

Key takeaways

  • How to build and stress-test a business model
  • Stitching the elements into one story
  • What customer value really means
  • Channels to market and experiential journey
  • Pricing the value, not the cost
  • Network effects and value-chain leverage
  • Buy / build / partner calls
  • Assumption register and cost structure

You leave with

  • One-page model canvas for 2–3 alternatives
  • Unit-economics workbook with scenarios
  • Segment and beachhead rationale
  • Assumption register with kill criteria

Measured value

The numbers this course is meant to move

MetricTarget
Contribution marginModelled per segment, > 60% at target scale
CAC payback< 12 months in the chosen channel
Assumptions retiredTop 5 economic assumptions given a test and a date
Pre-seed and seed foundersTeams pivoting or re-pricingCorporate venture and innovation teams

Run this with your team

Cohort seats or a private team session — 8 hours (4 hours/day), delivered online and applied to your own venture.

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